ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accurate diagnostic and prognostic predictions of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are crucial for VTE management. Artificial intelligence (AI) enables autonomous identification of the most predictive patterns from large complex data. Although evidence regarding its performance in VTE prediction is emerging, a comprehensive analysis of performance is lacking.

AIMS: To systematically review the performance of AI in the diagnosis and prediction of VTE and compare it to clinical risk assessment models (RAMs) or logistic regression models.

METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science from inception to April 20, 2021. Search terms included "artificial intelligence" and "venous thromboembolism." Eligible criteria were original studies evaluating AI in the prediction of VTE in adults and reporting one of the following outcomes: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, or area under receiver operating curve (AUC). Risks of bias were assessed using the PROBAST tool. Unpaired t-test was performed to compare the mean AUC from AI versus conventional methods (RAMs or logistic regression models).

RESULTS: A total of 20 studies were included. Number of participants ranged from 31 to 111 888. The AI-based models included artificial neural network (six studies), support vector machines (four studies), Bayesian methods (one study), super learner ensemble (one study), genetic programming (one study), unspecified machine learning models (two studies), and multiple machine learning models (five studies). Twelve studies (60%) had both training and testing cohorts. Among 14 studies (70%) where AUCs were reported, the mean AUC for AI versus conventional methods were 0.79 (95% CI: 0.74-0.85) versus 0.61 (95% CI: 0.54-0.68), respectively (p < .001). However, the good to excellent discriminative performance of AI methods is unlikely to be replicated when used in clinical practice, because most studies had high risk of bias due to missing data handling and outcome determination.

CONCLUSION: The use of AI appears to improve the accuracy of diagnostic and prognostic prediction of VTE over conventional risk models; however, there was a high risk of bias observed across studies. Future studies should focus on transparent reporting, external validation, and clinical application of these models.

PMID:37794526 | DOI:10.1111/ejh.14110

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PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Increased risk of venous and arterial thromboembolism in patients with colorectal cancer receiving cetuximab-based combination chemotherapy: A population-based study in Korea

Thromb Res. 2023 Oct 4;231:50-57. doi: 10.1016/j.thromres.2023.10.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Limited data exist on the risk of venous and arterial thromboembolisms (VTE and ATE) in patients receiving cetuximab plus chemotherapy. We aimed to determine the thromboembolic risk of patients with recurrent/metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) treated with cetuximab plus chemotherapy compared to chemotherapy alone.

METHODS: This population-based study used nationwide claims data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service of South Korea from 2013 to 2020. Patients with recurrent/metastatic CRC treated with first-line oxaliplatin- or irinotecan-based doublets with or without cetuximab and no secondary prevention for VTE and ATE were included. Primary outcomes were the occurrence of any thromboembolic events, VTE, and ATE, which were determined using the cumulative incidence method incorporating death as a competing event.

RESULTS: We identified 19,723 patients (cetuximab plus chemotherapy, N = 7630; chemotherapy alone, N = 12,093). The cumulative incidence of any thromboembolic events in patients with cetuximab plus chemotherapy was significantly higher than in those receiving chemotherapy alone (6-month, 5.62 % vs. 3.58 %, P < 0.0001). The rates of VTE (6-month, 5.11 % vs. 3.28 %, P < 0.0001) and ATE (6-month, 0.53 % vs. 0.32 %, P = 0.0218) were also higher in patients receiving cetuximab plus chemotherapy. In multivariable analysis, cetuximab plus chemotherapy was independently associated with developing any thromboembolic events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.63; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.42-1.87), VTE (HR, 1.62; 95 % CI, 1.40-1.87), and ATE (HR, 1.77; 95 % CI, 1.16-2.71).

CONCLUSIONS: Cetuximab with irinotecan- or oxaliplatin-based doublet chemotherapy was associated with an increased risk of any thromboembolic events, VTE, and ATE; further studies are warranted to examine the underlying mechanisms.

PMID:37804738 | DOI:10.1016/j.thromres.2023.10.005

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PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Major Intraoperative Complications During Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy

Ann Surg Oncol. 2023 Oct 2. doi: 10.1245/s10434-023-14340-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) to be a feasible surgical technique in treating esophageal carcinoma. Postoperative complications have been extensively reviewed, but literature focusing on intraoperative complications is limited. The main objective of this study was to report major intraoperative complications and 90-day mortality during MIE for cancer.

METHODS: Data were collected retrospectively from 10 European esophageal surgery centers. All intention-to-treat, minimally invasive laparoscopic/thoracoscopic esophagectomies with gastric conduit reconstruction for esophageal and GE junction cancers operated on between 2003 and 2019 were reviewed. Major intraoperative complications were defined as loss of conduit, erroneous transection of vascular structures, significant injury to other organs including bowel, heart, liver or lung, splenectomy, or other major complications including intubation injuries, arrhythmia, pulmonary embolism, and myocardial infarction.

RESULTS: Amongst 2862 MIE cases we identified 98 patients with 101 intraoperative complications. Vascular injuries were the most prevalent, 41 during laparoscopy and 19 during thoracoscopy, with injuries to 18 different vessels. There were 24 splenic vascular or capsular injuries, 11 requiring splenectomies. Four losses of conduit due to gastroepiploic artery injury and six bowel injuries were reported. Eight tracheobronchial lesions needed repair, and 11 patients had significant lung parenchyma injuries. There were 2 on-table deaths. Ninety-day mortality was 9.2%.

CONCLUSIONS: This study offers an overview of the range of different intraoperative complications during minimally invasive esophagectomy. Mortality, especially from intrathoracic vascular injuries, appears significant.

PMID:37782412 | DOI:10.1245/s10434-023-14340-3

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PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Development and validation of a new risk assessment model for immunomodulatory drug-associated venous thrombosis among Chinese patients with multiple myeloma

Thromb J. 2023 Oct 4;21(1):105. doi: 10.1186/s12959-023-00534-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Individuals with multiple myeloma (MM) receiving immunomodulatory drugs (IMiDs) are at risk of developing venous thromboembolism (VTE), a serious complication. There is no established clinical model for predicting VTE in the Chinese population. We develop a new risk assessment model (RAM) for IMiD-associated VTE in Chinese MM patients.

METHODS: We retrospectively selected 1334 consecutive MM patients receiving IMiDs from 16 medical centers in China and classified them randomly into the derivation and validation cohorts. A multivariate Cox regression model was used for analysis.

RESULTS: The overall incidence of IMiD-related VTE in Chinese MM patients was 6.1%. Independent predictive factors of VTE (diabetes, ECOG performance status, erythropoietin-stimulating agent use, dexamethasone use, and VTE history or family history of thrombosis) were identified and merged to develop the RAM. The model identified approximately 30% of the patients in each cohort at high risk for VTE. The hazard ratios (HRs) were 6.08 (P < 0.001) and 6.23 (P < 0.001) for the high-risk subcohort and the low-risk subcohort, respectively, within both the derivation and validation cohorts. The RAM achieved satisfactory discrimination with a C statistic of 0.64. The stratification approach of the IMWG guidelines yielded respective HRs of 1.77 (P = 0.053) and 1.81 (P = 0.063). The stratification approach of the SAVED score resulted in HRs of 3.23 (P = 0.248) and 1.65 (P = 0.622), respectively. The IMWG guideline and the SAVED score-based method yielded C statistics of 0.58 and 0.51, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: The new RAM outperformed the IMWG guidelines and the SAVED score and could potentially guide the VTE prophylaxis strategy for Chinese MM patients.

PMID:37794471 | PMC:PMC10552366 | DOI:10.1186/s12959-023-00534-y

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PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Impact of venous thromboembolism on the mortality in patients with cancer: a population-based cohort study

Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2023 Sep 28;34:100739. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100739. eCollection 2023 Nov.