ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accurate diagnostic and prognostic predictions of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are crucial for VTE management. Artificial intelligence (AI) enables autonomous identification of the most predictive patterns from large complex data. Although evidence regarding its performance in VTE prediction is emerging, a comprehensive analysis of performance is lacking.

AIMS: To systematically review the performance of AI in the diagnosis and prediction of VTE and compare it to clinical risk assessment models (RAMs) or logistic regression models.

METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science from inception to April 20, 2021. Search terms included "artificial intelligence" and "venous thromboembolism." Eligible criteria were original studies evaluating AI in the prediction of VTE in adults and reporting one of the following outcomes: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, or area under receiver operating curve (AUC). Risks of bias were assessed using the PROBAST tool. Unpaired t-test was performed to compare the mean AUC from AI versus conventional methods (RAMs or logistic regression models).

RESULTS: A total of 20 studies were included. Number of participants ranged from 31 to 111 888. The AI-based models included artificial neural network (six studies), support vector machines (four studies), Bayesian methods (one study), super learner ensemble (one study), genetic programming (one study), unspecified machine learning models (two studies), and multiple machine learning models (five studies). Twelve studies (60%) had both training and testing cohorts. Among 14 studies (70%) where AUCs were reported, the mean AUC for AI versus conventional methods were 0.79 (95% CI: 0.74-0.85) versus 0.61 (95% CI: 0.54-0.68), respectively (p < .001). However, the good to excellent discriminative performance of AI methods is unlikely to be replicated when used in clinical practice, because most studies had high risk of bias due to missing data handling and outcome determination.

CONCLUSION: The use of AI appears to improve the accuracy of diagnostic and prognostic prediction of VTE over conventional risk models; however, there was a high risk of bias observed across studies. Future studies should focus on transparent reporting, external validation, and clinical application of these models.

PMID:37794526 | DOI:10.1111/ejh.14110

11:06

PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Development and validation of a new risk assessment model for immunomodulatory drug-associated venous thrombosis among Chinese patients with multiple myeloma

Thromb J. 2023 Oct 4;21(1):105. doi: 10.1186/s12959-023-00534-y.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Individuals with multiple myeloma (MM) receiving immunomodulatory drugs (IMiDs) are at risk of developing venous thromboembolism (VTE), a serious complication. There is no established clinical model for predicting VTE in the Chinese population. We develop a new risk assessment model (RAM) for IMiD-associated VTE in Chinese MM patients.

METHODS: We retrospectively selected 1334 consecutive MM patients receiving IMiDs from 16 medical centers in China and classified them randomly into the derivation and validation cohorts. A multivariate Cox regression model was used for analysis.

RESULTS: The overall incidence of IMiD-related VTE in Chinese MM patients was 6.1%. Independent predictive factors of VTE (diabetes, ECOG performance status, erythropoietin-stimulating agent use, dexamethasone use, and VTE history or family history of thrombosis) were identified and merged to develop the RAM. The model identified approximately 30% of the patients in each cohort at high risk for VTE. The hazard ratios (HRs) were 6.08 (P < 0.001) and 6.23 (P < 0.001) for the high-risk subcohort and the low-risk subcohort, respectively, within both the derivation and validation cohorts. The RAM achieved satisfactory discrimination with a C statistic of 0.64. The stratification approach of the IMWG guidelines yielded respective HRs of 1.77 (P = 0.053) and 1.81 (P = 0.063). The stratification approach of the SAVED score resulted in HRs of 3.23 (P = 0.248) and 1.65 (P = 0.622), respectively. The IMWG guideline and the SAVED score-based method yielded C statistics of 0.58 and 0.51, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: The new RAM outperformed the IMWG guidelines and the SAVED score and could potentially guide the VTE prophylaxis strategy for Chinese MM patients.

PMID:37794471 | PMC:PMC10552366 | DOI:10.1186/s12959-023-00534-y

11:06

PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Arterial and Venous Thromboembolic Complications in 832 Patients with BCR-ABL-Negative Myeloproliferative Neoplasms

Hamostaseologie. 2023 Oct 9. doi: 10.1055/a-2159-8767. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Arterial (ATE) and venous (VTE) thromboembolic complications are common causes of morbidity and mortality in BCR-ABL-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). However, there are few studies that include all MPN subtypes and focus on both MPN-associated ATE and VTE. In our single-center retrospective study of 832 MPN patients, a total of 180 first thromboembolic events occurred during a median follow-up of 6.6 years (range: 0-37.6 years), of which 105 were VTE and 75 were ATE. The probability of a vascular event at the end of the follow-up period was 36.2%, and the incidence rate for all first ATE/VTE was 2.43% patient/year. The most frequent VTE localizations were deep vein thrombosis with or without pulmonary embolism (incidence rate: 0.59% patient/year), while strokes were the most frequent ATE with an incidence rate of 0.32% patient/year. When comparing the group of patients with ATE/VTE (n = 180) and the group without such an event (n = 652) using multivariate Cox regression analyses, patients with polycythemia vera (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.660; [95% confidence interval [CI] 1.206, 2.286]) had a significantly higher risk of a thromboembolic event than the other MPN subtypes. In contrast, patients with a CALR mutation had a significantly lower risk of thromboembolism compared with JAK2-mutated MPN patients (HR: 0.346; [95% CI: 0.172, 0.699]). In summary, a high incidence of MPN-associated VTE and ATE was observed in our retrospective study. While PV patients or generally JAK2-mutated MPN patients had a significantly increased risk of such vascular events, this risk was reduced in CALR-mutated MPN patients.

PMID:37813367 | DOI:10.1055/a-2159-8767

11:06

PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Anticoagulation and venous thromboembolism in patients aged 90 years and older: Data from the RIETE registry

J Am Geriatr Soc. 2023 Oct 10. doi: 10.1111/jgs.18626. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Age is a major risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), yet patients aged ≥90 years are under-represented in clinical trials of anticoagulant therapy. The objectives were to describe and compare patient clinical characteristics, treatments, and outcomes (VTE recurrence, bleeding, and mortality) during the first 3 months of anticoagulation between VTE patients aged ≥90 years and those aged <90

METHODS: We analyzed data from the Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbὀlica (RIETE), an ongoing global observational registry of patients with objectively confirmed acute VTE.

RESULTS: From January 2001 to October 2022, 96,701 patients were registered in RIETE, of whom 3262 (3.4%) were aged ≥90 years. Patients aged ≥90 years were less likely to be men, and to have experienced cancer or recent surgery, but more likely to manifest immobility, chronic heart failure, anemia, renal insufficiency, or dementia than those aged <90

CONCLUSIONS: In patients aged ≥90 years, the difference in the outcome of anticoagulant treatment depending on the initial presentation of VTE could suggest a need for different management approaches. Clinical trials evaluating the optimal duration of anticoagulation according to initial VTE presentation are warranted to limit excess deaths in this particular population.

PMID:37814983 | DOI:10.1111/jgs.18626

11:07

PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Increased risk of venous and arterial thromboembolism in patients with colorectal cancer receiving cetuximab-based combination chemotherapy: A population-based study in Korea

Thromb Res. 2023 Oct 4;231:50-57. doi: 10.1016/j.thromres.2023.10.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Limited data exist on the risk of venous and arterial thromboembolisms (VTE and ATE) in patients receiving cetuximab plus chemotherapy. We aimed to determine the thromboembolic risk of patients with recurrent/metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) treated with cetuximab plus chemotherapy compared to chemotherapy alone.

METHODS: This population-based study used nationwide claims data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service of South Korea from 2013 to 2020. Patients with recurrent/metastatic CRC treated with first-line oxaliplatin- or irinotecan-based doublets with or without cetuximab and no secondary prevention for VTE and ATE were included. Primary outcomes were the occurrence of any thromboembolic events, VTE, and ATE, which were determined using the cumulative incidence method incorporating death as a competing event.

RESULTS: We identified 19,723 patients (cetuximab plus chemotherapy, N = 7630; chemotherapy alone, N = 12,093). The cumulative incidence of any thromboembolic events in patients with cetuximab plus chemotherapy was significantly higher than in those receiving chemotherapy alone (6-month, 5.62 % vs. 3.58 %, P < 0.0001). The rates of VTE (6-month, 5.11 % vs. 3.28 %, P < 0.0001) and ATE (6-month, 0.53 % vs. 0.32 %, P = 0.0218) were also higher in patients receiving cetuximab plus chemotherapy. In multivariable analysis, cetuximab plus chemotherapy was independently associated with developing any thromboembolic events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.63; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.42-1.87), VTE (HR, 1.62; 95 % CI, 1.40-1.87), and ATE (HR, 1.77; 95 % CI, 1.16-2.71).

CONCLUSIONS: Cetuximab with irinotecan- or oxaliplatin-based doublet chemotherapy was associated with an increased risk of any thromboembolic events, VTE, and ATE; further studies are warranted to examine the underlying mechanisms.

PMID:37804738 | DOI:10.1016/j.thromres.2023.10.005

11:07

PubMed articles on: Cancer & VTE/PE

Two Cases of Catheter-Related Venous Thrombosis Treated with Direct Oral Anticoagulants(DOAC)

Gan To Kagaku Ryoho. 2023 Sep;50(9):993-996.

ABSTRACT

The implantation of a totally implantable central venous(CV)access port is considered a risk factor for venous thromboembolism( VTE). In the treatment of catheter-related thrombosis(CRT), both European and American guidelines recommend anticoagulation therapy with catheters in place. We experienced 2 cases of upper extremity deep vein thrombosis (UEDVT)after the implantation of CV access ports through the left subclavian vein for adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with resected breast cancer. Both patients were successfully treated with direct oral anticoagulants(DOAC) while the port remained in place with a careful follow-up that included monitoring of serum D-dimer levels. The administration of DOAC to CRT that develops in patients undergoing postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer may be relatively safe, with a low potential for adverse events such as bleeding.

PMID:37800295

11:07

PubMed articles on: Cardio-Oncology

Promoter Optimization Circumvents Bcl-2 Transgene-Mediated Suppression of Lentiviral Vector Production

Biomolecules. 2023 Sep 16;13(9):1397. doi: 10.3390/biom13091397.

ABSTRACT

Lentiviral vectors are a robust gene delivery tool for inducing transgene expression in a variety of cells. They are well suited to facilitate the testing of therapeutic candidate genes in vitro, due to relative ease of packaging and ability to transduce dividing and non-dividing cells. Our goal was to identify a gene that could be delivered to the heart to protect against cancer-therapy-induced cardiotoxicity. We sought to generate a lentivirus construct with a ubiquitous CMV promoter driving expression of B-cell lymphocyte/leukemia 2 gene (Bcl-2), a potent anti-apoptotic gene. Contrary to our aim, overexpression of Bcl-2 induced cell death in the producer HEK293T cells, resulting in failure to produce usable vector titre. This was circumvented by exchanging the CMV promoter to the cardiac-specific NCX1 promoter, leading to the successful production of a lentiviral vector which could induce cardioprotective expression of Bcl-2. In conclusion, reduced expression of Bcl-2 driven by a weaker promoter improved vector yield, and led to the production of functional cardioprotective Bcl-2 in primary cardiomyocytes.

PMID:37759797 | PMC:PMC10526134 | DOI:10.3390/biom13091397

11:07

PubMed articles on: Cardio-Oncology

Creatine and Resistance Training: A Combined Approach to Attenuate Doxorubicin-Induced Cardiotoxicity

Nutrients. 2023 Sep 19;15(18):4048. doi: 10.3390/nu15184048.